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Japan's M2 money stock increased by 1.2% and M3 by 0.7% in November.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.CITIC Securities' Outlook for OpenAI Release: The commercialization of AI will accelerate again. According to CITIC Securities Research Report, according to its official website, OpenAI announced that it will announce new products and functions for 12 consecutive working days from December 5th. At present, the official version of o1, ChatGPT Pro, enhanced fine-tuning and other functions have been released. We expect that the main directions of subsequent release will include multimodal, Agent and platform tools, AI applications, etc. The main products will include the foresight of important products such as Sora and Operator. At present, the rapid prosperity of model ecology, considering the upgrading of model capabilities and the lowering of industrialization threshold, combined with the application landing forms such as Agent, we expect that the landing of AI applications will continue to accelerate in 2025.

Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)The director of the South Korean Police Department and the director of the Seoul Police Department were forbidden to leave the country. On December 10th, local time, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters under the South Korean Police Department took measures to prohibit the director of the South Korean Police Department Zhao Zhihao and the director of the Seoul Police Department Jin Fengzhi from leaving the country.Liu Jianchao met with New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury. According to the website of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, on December 9, Liu Jianchao, Minister of the International Liaison Department of the CPC Central Committee, met with the outgoing New Zealand Ambassador to China Maury in Beijing. Liu Jianchao spoke highly of Mao Rui's contribution to the development of China-Singapore relations during his tenure. Liu Jianchao said that since China and Singapore established a comprehensive strategic partnership for 10 years, pragmatic cooperation in various fields has yielded fruitful results. At present, the world situation is uncertain and unstable. China and New Zealand are both in the Asia-Pacific region. A stable and sustainable Sino-New Zealand relationship is conducive to regional and world peace and prosperity. China is willing to work with Singapore to close inter-party exchanges, strengthen political dialogue, deepen pragmatic cooperation in various fields, and promote the stability and far-reaching relations between China and Singapore.

Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.Samsung is betting that XR's first lightweight AR glasses will ship 50,000 units next year. Samsung is actively promoting the Extended Reality (XR) project called Infinite, which is scheduled to be publicly displayed at the Galaxy Unpacked conference in January next year, and will be officially released in the third quarter of 2025. Samsung Electronics has made a production plan for XR equipment, and it is expected to ship more than 20,000 to 30,000 units in the third and fourth quarters of next year respectively.Under the background of global energy structure transformation, methanol-based ethanol-hydrogen electric vehicle technology has gradually emerged in recent years, which not only further enriches the technical route of vehicle electrification, but also provides new ideas for solving the problems of energy security and emission reduction in transportation in China. The reporter learned that at present, Liaoning, Shanxi, Tianjin and other places are actively promoting policies to accelerate the development of the alcohol-hydrogen electric vehicle industry, and some car companies represented by Geely are also stepping up their layout to compete for a new track in this industry. According to industry insiders, alcohol-hydrogen electric vehicles have many advantages and there is huge room for future development. (Economic Information Daily)